The ambition of this survey is to track over time the views of high net worth individuals (HNWIs) concerning the UK economy and their own financial prospects. These people are sometimes taken for granted and disparaged, despite the fact that this community makes a massive contribution to the UK. This contribution includes tax paid, certainly, but it is more than that; this survey reveals the extent of the growth successful Brits generate through their own business activity and their generous support of other wealth creators as younger generations begin their careers.
For people who believe that the views of wealth creators and tax payers matter, the news in this Report is not good.
After a brief rally, an exhalation of relief immediately following the departure of the previous Conservative administration, our barometer of confidence, the Saltus Wealth Index, has plunged to 58.2. This is its lowest point since we started these surveys in 2021. It is even lower than the level we recorded after Liz Truss’s disastrous Budget. The fact that it is not lower is a function of the resilience of most markets while the fieldwork was undertaken at the beginning of this year. Our respondents could see an iceberg ahead, but the ship was still afloat.
Confidence has taken a hammering, particularly confidence in the prospects of the UK economy. This is a constituency that is feeling the pinch, believes it pays too much tax and that the words of a Labour Party that said it was pro business prior to the election are not matched by its anti-growth actions now it is in government, specifically the October rise in Employer National Insurance.
It is no surprise therefore that large numbers of our respondents are now considering moving abroad and many of those that voted Labour now wish that they hadn’t.
In 1997 the Labour Party told us that things can only get better, but they can also get worse. There is not much room for optimism in this Report beyond the resilience, entrepreneurial flair and nous of our respondents. While they remain committed to the UK there is hope for brighter times ahead.
As always, my thanks go to our partners at Censuswide and our collaborator, Dr Michael Peacey of the University of Bristol, who helps us understand this valuable data. I hope you enjoy the Report.