Twice a year we canvas the views of high net worth individuals (HNWIs) in the UK. Their views matter, because these are the people whose creativity and hard work will drive prosperity in the UK in the medium and long term. In the short term they pay the tax that supports the Government’s spending programme.
The picture they paint is not a pretty one.
With our collaborator from the University of Bristol, Dr Michael Peacey, we have created an Index, a composite of some key indicators that the survey has tracked since its inception in October 2021. The Index currently stands at 61.3. Not the lowest it has been (that milestone was authored by Liz Truss) but trending down from the peak of 66.9 it reached immediately after the election of the current Government.
Our respondents feel that they are taxed too much and that some taxes are unfair. They particularly feel the impact of tax because the pressures on them have increased substantially over the past few years. They have felt responsible for their adult children for some time, but what our research shows is that they are increasingly also supporting their parents, often even helping them with day to day spending. However, these concerns about tax are not just personal. HNWIs also identify certain taxes as holding back the economy.
It all feels like a bit of a grind with not much hope in sight. For many, personal consumption is down, but significantly more material sacrifices are being made. The impact of VAT on private education is leading to some parents to switch schools and important long term goals have come under pressure; overwhelmingly HNWIs are not taking advantage of the full allowance that they could contribute to their pension.
Many respondents had voted for Labour at the last election, but substantial numbers now regret that decision. Many predictable concerns are cited for this softening of support, but they are joined by a new one: the collapse in employment prospects for university graduates.
Given this grim context, it is no surprise that so many people in this constituency are considering relocating abroad.
As always, my thanks go to our partners at Censuswide, who manage the survey, and Dr Peacey, who helps us understand this valuable data. I hope you enjoy the Report.